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Stanford Researcher on Empowering Private Landowners to Prevent Wildfires

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Brad Graevs of the Plumas Underburn Cooperative uses a drip torch to set fire to vegetation in Humboldt County as part of a controlled fire in June organized by the Humboldt County Prescribed Fire Association. Photo/Lenya Quinn-Davidson

Controlled burning has proven effective at reducing wildfire risks, but a lack of insurance has dissuaded private landowners from implementing the practice. Policy expert Michael Wara discusses soon-to-be-enacted legislation that would pay for fire damages to neighboring properties in California.

September 27, 2022 – By Rob Jordan,Stanford Woods Institute for the Environmen – Ironically, after California’s deadliest and most destructive wildfire season ever – in 2018 – insurance companies stopped providing coverage for one of the most promising ways to prevent such catastrophes.

To slow the scourge of wildfires, California needs controlled or prescribed burning of tinder-dry trees and brush known to fuel runaway wildfires – or vegetation thinning on about 20 million acres or nearly 20% of the state’s land area. Although more than 50% of the state’s land belongs to private owners, they have largely avoided prescribed burning in part due to fears of bankruptcy, according to previous Stanford University research. To assuage those fears, Stanford legal research scholar Michael Wara, in partnership with The Nature Conservancy and University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources fire advisors, assisted California state Sen. Bill Dodd in the development of legislation that would implement a $20 million fund to pay for prescribed fire damages to neighboring properties through 2028. The bill – SB 926 – received almost unanimous support from the state legislature, and awaits Gov. Gavin Newsom’s signature before it is finalized.

Below, Wara, director of the Climate and Energy Policy Program at the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment, discusses how to restart the insurance market for prescribed burning on private land, dispel misconceptions about the practice, and surmount related obstacles.

This past April, mistakes in a routine U.S. Forest Service prescribed burn led to New Mexico’s largest wildfire ever. What impact will that have on prescribed burning in California going forward?

CalFire – the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection – is a bit more anxious about prescribed fire than perhaps they were before New Mexico. But there are many different flavors of prescribed fire. SB 926 helps private landowners with smaller fires than what escaped in New Mexico. That fire was supposed to be 2,500 acres. Most prescribed burns on private land are about 10 acres, so there’s a lot less potential for damage. But there are far more of them conducted – more than 400 over the past few years – than is typical for the forest service.

Is the insurance industry’s risk aversion for prescribed burnings justified?

Based on our analysis over the past three years, only two out of 400 prescribed burns on private property in California have escaped. And when you say “escaped,” it doesn’t necessarily mean damages. They burned a little more than planned. A cattle grate was damaged in one case. The risk is really low, at least as far as we can tell from the actual data. CalFire has had two escapes in the past three years that did more damage and required more attention, but again, that’s a different beast from burns on private property.

What can be done to encourage insurers to issue policies for prescribed burn coverage?

Writing or issuing commercial fire insurance and reinsurance is not how you get promoted in the insurance industry. We need to change that. Lenya Quinn-Davidson of University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources and I are trying to build a much more comprehensive assessment of what the risk actually is. Bringing insurers into the market requires actuarial analysis. We want to replace preconceived notions and fears with data. Maybe you won’t sell me an insurance policy that covers that first loss, but maybe you would sell me one that covers loss above some very high deductible – maybe $2 million – because those losses are unlikely to occur.

Is a $20 million liability fund that only covers private land enough to make a dent in the massive amount of prescribed burning California needs to do?

This bill is a pilot. It’s intended to see what happens, see what we can learn. This is a targeted, surgical intervention to help a particular set of people who we think could play an important role in reducing risk. I think of them as the Good Samaritans of fire. They are going out on their weekends, getting paid nominal money if anything, and working to make their communities safer. How to better manage private lands for fire risk in California is a huge issue. The odds these parcels are important go up as you get closer to communities. A lot of this is aimed at protecting small-town California. These places where there’s a lot of risk, you’ve also got lots of private landowners.

Some people are concerned by the prospect of frequent, purposefully set fires. What can be done to reassure them?

The way public opinion on prescribed fire changes is with engagement. Community meetings, personal experience, and accurate depictions in trusted media are key. In general, when that kind of work is done, there’s tremendous support. This bill will make it easier to have more of those interactions. Financial support for prescribed fire work is available; the real challenge now is these liability issues.

How do Native tribes that have done controlled burning for millennia figure into this?

Work remains to be done figuring out how to incorporate cultural burning into a claims fund process – it’s an unfinished aspect of this pilot. I would hope before we move toward a permanent solution, we solve that problem. And this is one of the things our Smoke Policy Lab will be working on this year, in partnership with the Karuk Tribe Department of Natural Resources. (Read more about the policy lab.)

What other major obstacles to prescribed burning remain? How can we overcome them?

The real limiter for doing prescribed burning in California is having trained personnel available and having backup units available. If CalFire doesn’t have resources to stand by, a burn won’t happen. If we’re going to change the fire ecology of the state – which is really what we need to do to keep communities safe – we need to train an army of people. It implies a huge investment in rural California and lots of jobs. We need as much emphasis on good fire as we currently have on fire suppression.

Why should Californians who don’t live near wildfire-prone areas care about this bill?

Anybody that lives in L.A. or the Bay Area or the San Joaquin or Central Valley over the past five years has experienced terrible air quality. Stanford scholarship from Kari NadeauMary PrunickiMarshall Burke, and Sam Heft-Neal has made this point in many different ways. Prescribed fire makes a little bit of smoke to avoid a very large volume of smoke. You can choose the day and weather conditions so the smoke doesn’t expose people in communities downwind. While our understanding of the impacts of wildfire smoke is developing rapidly, the more we are learning, the more serious the threat to public health seems to be.

Wara is also interim policy director for the Sustainability Accelerator at the Stanford Doerr School of Sustainability.

Source: Stanford

 

 

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Over the Garden Fence – The Partnership Between Humans and Nature During Fire Recovery: Part 5

Do your part to prevent human caused wildfire: Part 5 

Over the Garden FenceSeptember 26, 2022 – By Michele Nowak-Sharkey, UC Master Gardener of Mariposa County – The largest natural cause of fire is lighting. However, most fires are human caused. The percentage varies from 89% – 95% depending on the source. With the increase in drought, fuel build-up in unburned forests, earlier springs, higher temperatures, beetle infested weakened trees, with the addition of a bit of wind and the same actions that might have easily extinguished a small fire in the past are now creating dangerous infernos.

Being aware of our everyday choices can impact the number and magnitude of fires in the future.
(https://www.nifc.gov/fire-information/fire-prevention-education-mitigation/wildfire-investigation)

MMG Human Causes of Wildfire

Debris and open burning include burn piles, yard debris, burn barrels, ditch/fence line burning, pest control, open trash burning, burning personal items, distress/signal fires, land clearing, right-of-way hazard reduction, or other escaped controlled burning. Windblown embers or fire creeping from the control burn area into un-cleared vegetation are the primary ignition mechanisms.

How to prevent: Landscape debris piles must be in 4 feet by 4 feet piles.  Clear all flammable material and vegetation within 10 feet of the outer edge of pile.

Keep a water supply and shovel close by.

A responsible adult is required by law to be in attendance until the fire is out.

Stay mindful of current weather conditions when burning. If it’s windy and the surrounding vegetation is very dry, it may be best to wait and burn another day.

Check Mariposa County for burn permit requirements. 209 966-1200. (https://cemariposa.ucanr.edu/Fire_Information/Permits_and_Regulations/Mariposa_County_Permitting)

Arson is the criminal act of deliberately or maliciously setting fire to property including public lands with the intent to damage or defraud. Devices and “hot sets” are commonly used to ignite fires.

How to prevent: If you see or know of unusual activity in an area where wildfires are occurring, report it immediately. Note descriptions of vehicles and people in the area including dates, times, and location. Photos and videos are extremely helpful!

Equipment/Vehicle fires range from heavy construction to small portable engines (passenger vehicles/RVs, motorcycles, OHV, ATV, trailers, road graders, bulldozers, tractor trailers, welders, grinders, wind generators, chain saws, pumps, generators, etc.).

Ignitions sources are mechanical breakdowns/malfunctions such as exhaust (direct heat transfer, organic material collecting on the exhaust system, and particles), catalytic converter pieces, hot metal fragments, metal/pavement contact (dragging trailer chains and metal parts), friction, flat tires, spark arrestor malfunctions, faulty electrical system/wiring, collisions, refueling operations, and rock/hard surface strikes.

How to Prevent: Perform regular maintenance on your vehicles – secure chains, inspect for dragging parts, check tire pressure, and properly maintain brakes. Visit Ready for Wildfire equipment use for more prevention tips. (https://www.readyforwildfire.org/prevent-wildfire/equipment-use)

Firearms and explosives use requires being aware of any firearm projectiles along with flares from flare guns and signal flares.

How to Prevent: Explosives, exploding targets, incendiary ammunition and tracer bullets are prohibited on public lands during high fire danger. Check for fire restrictions and prohibited uses in the area. To prevent wildfires while target shooting, follow these tips:

Bring a shovel and water or fire extinguisher.

Place your targets on dirt or gravel, clear and away from grass and other vegetation.

If fire danger is high (dry, hot, and windy) consider shooting at an established outdoor or indoor range.

Know your ammunition – don’t shoot steel component, tracer, or incendiary bullets.

Bullets can spark when striking solid objects, sending hot fragments into vegetation – don’t shoot trash like TVs and appliances or at rocks and metal targets such as signs.

Fireworks burn at extremely elevated temperatures making all fireworks ignition sources especially the airborne type (i.e., bottle rockets and roman candles). Even sparklers burn at 1200°F.

How to prevent: Despite the dangers of fireworks, few people understand the associated risks – devastating burns, other injuries, fires, and even death. During times of high fire danger, federal and local agencies impose fire restrictions and/or fire prevention orders.

Misuse of fire by minors has its own category. Young children, ages 12 or younger, motivated by normal curiosity may use fire in an experimental fashion; “playing with matches.” They look for easily accessible ignition devices and frequently use both paper and wood matches, lighters, fireworks, or magnifying glasses to ignite fires.

How to prevent: Set a good example and teach children fire safety at an early age. The most critical message for children to learn is that matches, and lighters are tools and not toys! Parents should never use lighters, matches and fire for fun – children will mimic the behavior,

Power line caused wildfires are often due to high winds, contact with vegetation, equipment failure, or human or animal contact with a power line (conductor wire). Several of these factors may work to cause a fire, such as wind blowing vegetation into contact with the electrical equipment.

How to prevent: Proper maintenance including vegetation clearance around equipment can help prevent wildfires. For your safety, however, stay away from power lines, meters, transformers, and electrical boxes. Leave the maintenance to the professionals – if you see vegetation close or in contact with power lines or bird nest close to the lines or conductor boxes, notify your utility company.

Recreation and ceremony include campfires improperly constructed, unattended, improperly extinguished, or abandoned; barbeque/smokers; bonfires; ceremonial fires; gas cookers, warming and lighting devices; luminary (sky lanterns); and outdoor fireplaces, metal fire rings and candles.

How to Prevent: Learn how to construct a proper campfire and how to put it out. (https://smokeybear.com/en/prevention-how-tos/campfire-safety) Never leave grills and smokers unattended. Watch weather conditions closely when considering have a bonfire, ceremonial fire or using candles.

Smoking fires are generated from discarded unextinguished cigarettes and other materials used for smoking. Wildfires caused by smoking activities or accoutrements, include matches, cigarettes, cigars, pipes, electronic cigarettes (vape heads), and drug paraphernalia.

How to Prevent: Never flick cigarette butts out the window. Watch where you toss used matches and other smoking accoutrements. Beware of wind conditions when using such paraphernalia.

We want to get back to fire as a beneficial effect on the landscape rather than a damaging effect.

As Smokey says “Only YOU can help prevent wildfires” by our personal actions and the actions we take as a community.

Next Up: Defensible Space and How to Create It

Related:

Over the Garden Fence – The Partnership Between Humans and Nature During Fire Recovery: Part 4

Over the Garden Fence – The Partnership Between Humans and Nature During Fire Recovery: Part 3

Over the Garden Fence – The Partnership Between Humans and Nature During Fire Recovery: Part 2

Over the Garden Fence – The Partnership Between Humans and Nature During Fire Recovery


For assistance, contact our Helpline at (209) 966-7078 or at mgmariposa@ucdavis.edu. We are currently unable to take samples or meet with you in person but welcome pictures.

The U.C. Master Gardener Helpline is staffed; Tuesdays from 9:00 A.M. – 12:00 P.M. and Thursdays from 2:00 P.M. – 5:00 P.M.
Clients may bring samples to the Agricultural Extension Office located at the Mariposa Fairgrounds, but the Master Gardener office is not open to the public. We will not be doing home visits this year due to UCANR restrictions.

Serving Mariposa County, including Greeley Hill, Coulterville, and Don Pedro
Please contact the helpline, or leave a message by phone at: (209) 966-7078
By email (send photos and questions for researched answers) to: mgmariposa@ucdavis.edu

For further gardening information and event announcements, please visit: UCMG website: https://cemariposa.ucanr.edu/Master_Gardener
Follow us on Facebook at: https://www.facebook.com/mariposamastergardeners

Master Gardener Office Location:
UC Cooperative Extension Office,
5009 Fairgrounds Road
Mariposa, CA 95338

Phone: (209) 966-2417
Email: mgmariposa@ucdavis.edu
Website: http://cemariposa.ucanr.edu/Master_Gardener

Visit the YouTube channel at UCCE Mariposa.

 

 

 

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January 2020 To April 2020 Fuels, Fire and Weather Assessment For Central And Southern California

January 2020 To April 2020 Fuels, Fire and Weather Assessment For Central And Southern California Report Finds Winter Precipitation Expected to be Below Normal for the Rest of Winter into Early Spring

 

 Temperatures Above Normal through March.

 Winter Precipitation Below Normal rest of winter into early spring.

 Near Normal number of offshore wind events January.

 Early onset of spring “grassfire season” possible in April.

Weather Discussion

January 2, 2020 – The cool, wet weather pattern which suddenly emerged in November continued into December as several cold-core storm systems visited the state. While a few of these had a subtropical assessment 1connection, most of the precipitation across Southern California arrived courtesy of storms begat from the Gulf of Alaska. As such, these storms brought heavy snow to relatively low elevations, especially across the Angeles and San Bernardino National Forests. Many of these storms remained off the coast, which caused the heaviest precipitation in Central California to be focused from the San Joaquin Valley westward. While much of the desert continued to see well above normal precipitation last month, curiously, the Sierras experienced slightly below average precipitation in December (Image 1, below).

Offshore wind events were infrequent during the past month and of comparatively weaker strength than the events of October and early November. Temperatures were generally on the cool side which, along with short daylight hours and a low solar angle, allowed for much of the precipitation to recharge subsoils without much waste in the form of evaporation.

This winter seems to be shaping up to be one of those years where there are really no solid clues to ascertain what sort of long range weather pattern may emerge during the next few months. The PNA and NAO indices are flat. The current ENSO index is weakly positive, but continues to trend slowly downward toward neutral.

assessment 2

Furthermore, SST anomaly patterns that were seemingly becoming dominant the past few months have recently reversed themselves. The Niño 1+2 region off the South American coast has seen significant warming in December which may negate any chance of seeing a Modoki El Niño from developing this season. But warmer than normal SST’s remain over the Gulf of Alaska, albeit a bit less pronounced and without the large area of spuriously warm water over the Central Pacific compared to last month (Image 2, below).

The majority of long range models had been consistent in showing well below normal precipitation this winter across California and much of the Southwest. The axis of lowest precipitation compared to normal has shifted northward into Northern CA with several NMME members bringing the driest conditions into the Pacific Northwest (Image 3, below). It remains to be seen whether the strong jet stream that we’ve seen this winter will continue to be the biggest player in the weather, or if a blocking (or perhaps split-flow) pattern will eventually win out.

Long range models are still keen on the concept of drier than average weather the rest of the winter with some of the greater deficits occurring in January and February. This is our prediction as well, but forecaster confidence remains lower than normal at this juncture. Temperature outlooks are a bit more clear cut with a high likelihood of warmer than normal temperatures through spring.

assessment 3

FUELS AND DROUGHT OUTLOOK

Widespread, significant precipitation occurring near the winter solstice is usually enough to keep large fire potential low in ensuing weeks and this year should be no exception. The mountains have near or above normal snowpack for this time of year, while lower elevations are seeing rapid growth of seasonal grasses. If the weather turns warm and dry for a period of time during the next month or two, fire spread should be limited to windy periods and confined to elevations above seasonal grass growth, but below the alpine areas which should still have snow cover.

Looking ahead to the late winter and early spring timeframe, if the outlook for below normal precipitation and warmer than normal temperatures come to fruition, grasses may cure out a few weeks early this year. The spike in grass fire activity may occur in April versus May. Thus, if fine fuels become available for ignition earlier this year, there is a greater opportunity for receptive fuels to be present during “offshore wind season” which usually extends from late September into early May. At the current time, all guidance continues to indicate a near normal rate of offshore winds the next few months, but an earlier curing of grasses may allow for a greater opportunity for receptive fuels to be present during a time of year when offshore winds are more prevalent. Therefore, large fire potential may rise to an above normal potential by April over Southern California.

Last year was a very quiet fire season across the western U.S. This summer may be more active across the West and there may be more competition outside of the region for resources. Look for higher preparedness levels nationally with an earlier onset to the 2020 fire season overall. Locally, the highest potential this season (and perhaps for many seasons to come) will likely be in the Sierra Foothills due to a dense stand of bug killed timber. It is too soon to predict whether this will be an active monsoon season, but since storms were so infrequent last year, there will probably be a greater risk of lightninggenerated ignitions compared to 2019.

assessment 4

 

 

 

Source: https://goldrushcam.com/sierrasuntimes/index.php/news/local-news/21508-january-2020-to-april-2020-fuels-fire-and-weather-assessment-for-central-and-southern-california-report-finds-winter-precipitation-expected-to-be-below-normal-for-the-rest-of-winter-into-early-spring

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